Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 10.540579 12.056023 13.665982 15.498736 17.522178 19.682789 22.159131
2025-03-02 8.145712 10.191131 12.515669 15.332864 18.633609 22.357025 26.852418
2025-03-09 6.571091 8.926284 11.770491 15.411316 19.897713 25.193435 31.860998
2025-03-16 5.295154 7.782765 10.963636 15.244519 20.762418 27.538451 36.381051
2025-03-23 4.668439 7.349154 10.949132 16.001311 22.757567 31.321743 42.818243
2025-03-30 3.981758 6.712787 10.561458 16.184724 23.970380 34.134096 48.134963
2025-04-06 3.226339 5.849029 9.735711 15.652913 24.135344 35.534279 51.635984
2025-04-13 2.589850 5.056148 8.900273 14.993629 24.025816 36.501449 54.542782
2025-04-20 2.345494 4.854066 8.920184 15.566242 25.667427 39.905281 60.851042
2025-04-27 2.248943 4.885790 9.299695 16.695735 28.164094 44.590422 69.083117
2025-05-04 2.105679 4.809949 9.488167 17.525887 30.240341 48.742246 76.696113
2025-05-11 1.861629 4.507499 9.260680 17.661458 31.249295 51.371366 82.216233
2025-05-18 1.568839 4.070579 8.767698 17.343882 31.570190 53.055937 86.526059
2025-05-25 1.333161 3.706939 8.361854 17.132574 32.036106 54.965697 91.227085
2025-06-01 1.165530 3.457285 8.134712 17.202102 32.944323 57.564047 97.015671
2025-06-08 0.993037 3.161363 7.781471 17.011368 33.399413 59.466995 101.808962
2025-06-15 0.940778 3.144253 7.978347 17.832050 35.589343 64.150570 110.954977
2025-06-22 0.837347 2.977610 7.848762 18.029333 36.713788 67.176983 117.637244
2025-06-29 0.686224 2.649092 7.335398 17.448213 36.442068 67.941219 120.820010
2025-07-06 0.549900 2.323112 6.780098 16.728366 35.867668 68.169220 123.141444
2025-07-13 0.515474 2.293088 6.892454 17.352556 37.743574 72.487389 132.054825
2025-07-20 0.518085 2.381130 7.289657 18.583174 40.778312 78.817883 144.331186
2025-07-27 0.500903 2.401012 7.524353 19.486764 43.238261 84.245131 155.269495